Fat Guy goes against Pats in Super Bowl

Fat Guy Corner

 

 

The end of the NFL season is Sunday with Super Bowl LIII between the Los Angeles Rams and New England Patriots.

Deciding who I think will win has been the toughest choice I have had in predicting a Super Bowl winner. I have been on an incredible run with Super Bowl predictions in this newspaper over the years.

This also includes two tough losses with Seattle and Atlanta, which in both games, the Patriots had miracles to emerge victorious. Thanks, Pete Carroll, for your horrible play call on the goal line. I can also thank the Atlanta Falcons for the greatest collapse in Super Bowl history. Okay, enough of the two bad beats I suffered and let’s look at this football game on Sunday. The kickoff is set for 6:30 p.m. on CBS in Atlanta at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

The New England Patriots are heading to their fifth Super Bowl in eight years! The word dynasty cannot be used enough when talking about the Pats. The duo of Tom Brady and Bill Belichick is the most prolific in NFL history and it’s not even close. The duo of Jared Goff and Sean McVay is the youngest combo age-wise ever for a coach and quarterback at the Super Bowl. The Patriots’ offense averaged 28.6 points a game and the Rams a touch better at 32.4. When I look at that, it’s more than a field goal.

On the defensive side, the Patriots are slightly better at 21.3 points and the Rams at 23.8 points allowed. I find this little nugget interesting when looking at these two teams’ road records. The Rams went a solid 7-2, while the Patriots went 4-5. The Super Bowl is a road game for both, so those numbers are something to ponder.

The quarterback play is always critical when looking at the Super Bowl, and it’s no doubt the Patriots hold a huge advantage here! Is there any more obvious statement than that one? Nope!

Tom Brady is playing great football and he is always the best on the big stage. Heck, in the last two Super Bowls he has thrown for almost 1,000 yards. Think about that one for a minute. The Rams’ quarterback, Jared Goff, will have to step up his play and be mistake free or close to it for the Rams to win.

The play of running back Todd Gurley needs to be solid on Sunday to help out the passing game and take pressure off of Goff.

The Patriots have jumped out to big leads over the Chargers and Chiefs in their two playoff wins. I think the play of the New England defense is not getting enough accolades for how well it has performed. New England shut out the Kansas City Chiefs in Arrowhead Stadium in the first half. How many of us thought that was possible? I was impressed, that’s for sure.

You have to wonder, though, can the Patriots lose back-to-back Super Bowls? I believe they can and here is what it will take for that to happen. The Rams must run the ball consistently and Goff needs to hit big plays when the opportunity is available. The entire key to the game for me is, can the Rams’ Ndamukong Suh and Aaron Donald force pressure up the middle to move Tom Brady off his spot? Tom gets comfortable in the pocket and he will tear up the Rams throwing the football. Whenever Brady has relentless pressure in his face he has struggled. The Patriots’ offensive line play has kept Tommy boy pretty clean in the pocket lately.

This will be one whale of a football game, in my opinion. The general public loves the Tom Brady Super Bowl train to roll out of Atlanta with a Super Bowl victory. I, however, do not. I will take the underdog Rams to win by a field goal. The prediction is: Ram a Slam 30 and Pats Lose Back to Back 27. thefatguy@mihomepaper.com

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